Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.563937 1.786688 2.030002 2.315535 2.641507 3.002135 3.431528
2025-01-05 1.182964 1.475374 1.823597 2.269020 2.824053 3.493499 4.363344
2025-01-12 0.967497 1.281500 1.678270 2.216751 2.929376 3.841525 5.100251
2025-01-19 0.810022 1.127137 1.547774 2.147059 2.980307 4.100167 5.723896
2025-01-26 0.758068 1.101122 1.575815 2.281369 3.305557 4.741875 6.916396
2025-02-02 0.715980 1.080766 1.605014 2.414377 3.635536 5.414732 8.214921
2025-02-09 0.671082 1.049188 1.611693 2.510772 3.916044 6.036202 9.493587
2025-02-16 0.619280 1.000142 1.585151 2.550695 4.109986 6.539757 10.634513
2025-02-23 0.556196 0.925862 1.510849 2.505712 4.162102 6.822207 11.445001
2025-03-02 0.507019 0.868440 1.456684 2.485769 4.249186 7.162979 12.375802
2025-03-09 0.469775 0.826738 1.423431 2.495692 4.384027 7.589779 13.485381
2025-03-16 0.436832 0.788869 1.392480 2.505298 4.516849 8.021065 14.637608
2025-03-23 0.407828 0.755872 1.368099 2.526271 4.675520 8.518216 15.969090
2025-03-30 0.370884 0.704935 1.307309 2.475699 4.699896 8.778215 16.892554
2025-04-06 0.337255 0.656699 1.246609 2.418630 4.705030 9.000251 17.760592
2025-04-13 0.304861 0.607586 1.179572 2.342552 4.665418 9.132173 18.462521
2025-04-20 0.302694 0.617210 1.224997 2.489170 5.073351 10.157963 21.031428
2025-04-27 0.299973 0.625348 1.267975 2.634372 5.490964 11.238023 23.811447
2025-05-04 0.292731 0.623458 1.290574 2.739607 5.835560 12.199832 26.434466
2025-05-11 0.279636 0.608032 1.284101 2.783192 6.054243 12.920200 28.608936
2025-05-18 0.258844 0.574195 1.236327 2.734082 6.069397 13.212835 29.876780
2025-05-25 0.242300 0.548095 1.202630 2.712311 6.141660 13.632595 31.464026
2025-06-01 0.229858 0.529960 1.184489 2.723144 6.286838 14.222513 33.489666